Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 191.770892 228.822797 274.475169 336.064426 418.943704 5.296875e+02 694.590805
2025-02-02 160.675490 209.961789 279.637647 390.694787 575.102332 8.961501e+02 1579.955154
2025-02-09 132.965495 182.135456 256.970784 388.293658 637.270605 1.160295e+03 2668.261832
2025-02-16 116.535766 165.659948 245.001616 396.008686 718.631422 1.535124e+03 4897.808068
2025-02-23 106.097189 155.775945 240.364872 413.942420 831.090824 2.123917e+03 10741.464450
2025-03-02 98.524407 148.870909 238.790402 436.831640 972.083967 3.050603e+03 31769.934229
2025-03-09 90.107250 138.990637 229.391762 439.396248 1062.554538 4.017972e+03 113843.425191
2025-03-16 81.128137 126.788395 213.135094 420.859287 1077.844102 4.695115e+03 477688.054759
2025-03-23 76.345627 121.512519 209.656069 432.663495 1208.842382 6.683281e+03 NaN
2025-03-30 69.262580 111.102324 193.867185 407.952153 1186.251043 7.399649e+03 NaN
2025-04-06 65.702648 106.952169 190.675797 416.693138 1312.991923 1.071598e+04 NaN
2025-04-13 61.075287 100.244963 180.914934 404.122847 1336.487655 1.308472e+04 NaN
2025-04-20 60.259769 101.604976 190.946587 459.685002 1813.192122 4.154190e+04 NaN
2025-04-27 60.290093 104.820624 206.569240 545.442483 2748.449595 6.868828e+05 NaN
2025-05-04 56.191701 98.771975 198.055494 541.643332 3023.521832 1.871720e+07 NaN
2025-05-11 53.227311 94.781082 194.039268 553.970597 3534.258584 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 51.137589 92.428106 193.867119 582.823066 4425.243844 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 49.445084 90.737833 195.162731 620.025327 5779.732133 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 46.978597 86.988957 189.932408 624.219742 6676.219103 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 43.887902 81.495932 178.787847 594.020764 6653.553768 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 42.289425 79.347680 177.170365 613.219511 8253.771120 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 39.480544 74.090231 165.480345 573.156644 7739.818400 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 38.107234 72.145440 163.588094 587.271542 9456.753671 NaN NaN